House races: 2018 election predictions

House races: 2018 election predictions

District’s Forecast

Enter a state, candidate, or address to get a detailed forecast

House races: 2018 election predictions
House races: 2018 election predictions

Less likely election result

Margin of error predicts outcome 95% of the time

House races: 2018 election predictions

FORECAST MAP

Want to find out how your side is doing in a race? Simple — just locate it on the map. Some districts are very small, so we decided to lay a cartogram over the traditional map to give each district an equal size.

District’s Forecast

Enter a state, candidate, or address to get a detailed forecast

Democrat forecastRepublican forecastEach hex representsone districtRICTNJDE

House races: 2018 election predictions

Harry Explains the Forecast

What is the margin of error?

Look, we’re making a forecast. It’s not going to be perfect. Anything within this range could reasonably happen, though we expect the result to be close to our best estimate.

How does the prediction update?

The prediction updates every day as more polls come out. The prediction should become more accurate the closer we are to the election.

House races: 2018 election predictions

Harry's Races to Watch

The 15 races with the smallest margin between parties

Forecast History

Forecasts are rarely perfect and will move over time as new information becomes available. See how the forecast has moved in this neat looking chart.

By Harry Enten, Sam Petulla, Parker Quinn, Brice Acree, Vijith Assar, Matthew Conlen, Brad Oyler, Will Mullery, Joyce Tseng and Mark Barilla.

0 Comment

NO COMMENTS

Comments are closed.