Hurricane Sally forecast to bring 'historic flooding' to Gulf Coast

KILN, Miss. — Hurricane Sally is inching closer to the Gulf Coast as the slow-moving storm is expected to bring heavy rains and "historic flooding" from southeastern Louisiana to Florida's Panhandle, forecasters say.

Sally, which ramped up to a Category 2 storm Monday but has since weakened slightly to Category 1, is forecast to make landfall later Tuesday or early Wednesday.

While forecasters say it's still too early to determine exactly where Sally will come ashore, its dangers will be felt for miles with hurricane warnings in effect from east of the mouth of the Pearl River along the Louisiana-Mississippi border to Navarre, Florida.

“This is going to be historic flooding along with the historic rainfall,” Stacy Stewart, a senior specialist with the National Hurricane Center, said Tuesday. “If people live near rivers, small streams and creeks, they need to evacuate and go somewhere else.”

Hurricane Sally forecast to bring 'historic flooding' to Gulf Coast

Sally, crawling at 2 mph early Tuesday, was about 65 miles east of the Mississippi River and 105 miles south-southeast of Biloxi, Mississippi, with winds whipping up to 85 mph. The Hurricane Center said the storm's center will move near the coast of southeastern Louisiana later Tuesday before coming ashore then moving northeast later this week.

Forecasters say Sally could bring 10 to 20 inches of rain from the Florida Panhandle to southeast Mississippi, with some isolated pockets of rain up to 30 inches. 

"Historic flooding is possible with extreme life-threatening flash flooding likely through Wednesday. In addition, this rainfall will lead to widespread moderate to major flooding on area rivers," the Hurricane Center said.

President Donald Trump issued emergency declarations for parts of Louisiana, Mississippi and Alabama on Monday. "Be ready and listen to State and Local Leaders!" Trump tweeted.

Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis declared a state of emergency in Escambia and Santa Rosa counties, along the western part of the Panhandle, which already was being pummeled with rain from Sally's outer bands.

In Alabama, Gov. Kay Ivey also issued a state of an emergency closing Alabama's beaches. Dauphin Island already was flooding as Sally approached, according to the Weather Channel. 

Sally had threatened to batter New Orleans, where thousands of evacuees from Hurricane Laura were staying, but turned east over the past day. Laura devastated much of southwestern Louisiana after it roared ashore as a Category 4 storm, the first major hurricane of the 2020 season.

In Mississippi, Hurricane Katrina was on the minds of some residents preparing for Sally's deluge.

Sabrina Young of Bay St. Louis was at the Kiln shelter Monday. It was the first of several to open around the region as evacuations of low-lying areas began. 

Hurricane Sally forecast to bring 'historic flooding' to Gulf Coast

“(The people will) be coming but it will be too late," she said. "They’ll have the bare necessities. I did that with Katrina — the clothes on our backs and that was it. I don’t want to be in that situation again.” 

Others appeared unsure what to do and planned to ride out the storm at home. Kenneth Belcher of Ocean Springs said he's worried about the storm, but has little choice other than to stay at his apartment. 

"They say it's going to be a bad one," Belcher said. "They said 15, 20, 30 inches are going to fall. We got lucky with (Hurricane) Laura, but this one looks like it's coming to us."

The storms are part of a particularly active hurricane season in the Atlantic, with Monday marking the second time ever that forecasters tracked five tropical cyclones simultaneously in the Atlantic basin. None other than Sally were forecast to hit the continental U.S. this week.

Scientists say human-caused climate change has made hurricanes stronger and rainier in recent years with warmer air and water in the oceans. Rising sea levels from climate change also can make storm surge higher and more damaging.

In Biloxi, Desiree Healey of Douglasville, Georgia, was walking her cat, Quasar, on the beach as winds and waves grew Monday afternoon. Healey said she had recently moved to the region.

"I came here looking for work at the casinos. I was dropping off some applications,"she said. "I thought she might enjoy the beach. I was very wrong."

All the casinos were being evacuated Monday afternoon. 

Contributing: Annie Blanks, Pensacola News Journal; Chanukah Christie, Montgomery Advertiser; Lici Beveridge, Luke Ramseth, Alissa Zhu, Mississippi Clarion Ledger; and The Associated Press

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